Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.013773 0.016948 0.021012 0.026736 0.034835 0.046297 0.064585
2025-02-09 0.009937 0.013388 0.018443 0.026843 0.041521 0.068736 0.131848
2025-02-16 0.008037 0.011450 0.016897 0.027033 0.047781 0.096142 0.260557
2025-02-23 0.006792 0.010068 0.015635 0.026933 0.053277 0.128986 0.523603
2025-03-02 0.005755 0.008759 0.014088 0.025585 0.055128 0.155881 0.963873
2025-03-09 0.005062 0.007889 0.013098 0.024995 0.058594 0.195936 2.165799
2025-03-16 0.004632 0.007397 0.012700 0.025577 0.066035 0.273289 8.826742
2025-03-23 0.004239 0.006902 0.012180 0.025669 0.072213 0.369502 89.472067
2025-03-30 0.003812 0.006283 0.011279 0.024474 0.072908 0.435882 27737.651622
2025-04-06 0.003494 0.005832 0.010660 0.023862 0.075733 0.546214 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003309 0.005616 0.010521 0.024589 0.085526 0.837626 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003201 0.005540 0.010684 0.026310 0.102938 1.615611 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003077 0.005444 0.010858 0.028475 0.129655 4.568767 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002865 0.005141 0.010474 0.028620 0.144893 11.355522 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002684 0.004878 0.010140 0.028829 0.162602 43.562870 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002514 0.004618 0.009763 0.028720 0.178656 398.251781 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002318 0.004279 0.009117 0.027249 0.177719 4470.662943 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002170 0.004035 0.008696 0.026606 0.186459 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002076 0.003904 0.008569 0.027240 0.215851 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.001976 0.003748 0.008345 0.027341 0.240076 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001849 0.003517 0.007866 0.026038 0.236973 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.001749 0.003343 0.007536 0.025372 0.245468 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001693 0.003268 0.007491 0.026164 0.290651 NaN NaN